TY - CHAP U1 - Buchbeitrag A1 - Yalcin, Erdal A1 - Felbermayr, Gabriel A1 - Steininger, Marina T1 - United States: What to Expect from a Protective US Trade Policy T2 - The Handbook of Global Trade Policy, Edited by Andreas Klasen N2 - Due to its economic size, economic policy measures, in particular trade policies, have a far‐reaching impact on global economic developments. This chapter quantifies the economic consequences of US protectionist trade aspirations. It focuses on trade policy scenarios, which have been communicated by the current US administration as potential new trade policies. The chapter draws on the results of a study of the ifo Institute conducted on behalf of the Bertelsmann Foundation. In the first simulation, a retraction from the North American Free Trade Agreement is considered. The chapter then illustrates the potential consequences of a “border tax adjustment” policy. It also simulates further measures to protect the US market by presuming an increase in American duties. The chapter presents robust quantitative results that can be expected if an increasingly protectionist US trade policy were to be implemented. KW - Trade policy KW - Tariffs KW - Non-tariff barriers Y1 - 2020 SN - 978-1-119-16738-9 SB - 978-1-119-16738-9 SN - 978-1-119-16743-3 SB - 978-1-119-16743-3 SN - 978-1-119-16740-2 SB - 978-1-119-16740-2 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119167402.ch12 DO - https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119167402.ch12 SP - 308 EP - 327 PB - Wiley Blackwell CY - Hoboken, NJ ER -