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Due to its economic size, economic policy measures, in particular trade policies, have a far‐reaching impact on global economic developments. This chapter quantifies the economic consequences of US protectionist trade aspirations. It focuses on trade policy scenarios, which have been communicated by the current US administration as potential new trade policies. The chapter draws on the results of a study of the ifo Institute conducted on behalf of the Bertelsmann Foundation. In the first simulation, a retraction from the North American Free Trade Agreement is considered. The chapter then illustrates the potential consequences of a “border tax adjustment” policy. It also simulates further measures to protect the US market by presuming an increase in American duties. The chapter presents robust quantitative results that can be expected if an increasingly protectionist US trade policy were to be implemented.
Multi-Dimensional Connectionist Classification is amethod for weakly supervised training of Deep Neural Networksfor segmentation-free multi-line offline handwriting recognition.MDCC applies Conditional Random Fields as an alignmentfunction for this task. We discuss the structure and patterns ofhandwritten text that can be used for building a CRF. Since CRFsare cyclic graphical models, we have to resort to approximateinference when calculating the alignment of multi-line text duringtraining, here in the form of Loopy Belief Propagation. This workconcludes with experimental results for transcribing small multi-line samples from the IAM Offline Handwriting DB which showthat MDCC is a competitive methodology.
NAND flash memory is widely used for data storage due to low power consumption, high throughput, short random access latency, and high density. The storage density of the NAND flash memory devices increases from one generation to the next, albeit at the expense of storage reliability.
Our objective in this dissertation is to improve the reliability of the NAND flash memory with a low hard implementation cost. We investigate the error characteristic, i.e. the various noises of the NAND flash memory. Based on the error behavior at different life-aging stages, we develop offset calibration techniques that minimize the bit error rate (BER).
Furthermore, we introduce data compression to reduce the write amplification effect and support the error correction codes (ECC) unit. In the first scenario, the numerical results show that the data compression can reduce the wear-out by minimizing the amount of data that is written to the flash. In the ECC scenario, the compression gain is used to improve the ECC capability. Based on the first scenario, the write amplification effect can be halved for the considered target flash and data model. By combining the ECC and data compression, the NAND flash memory lifetime improves three fold compared with uncompressed data for the same data model.
In order to improve the data reliability of the NAND flash memory, we investigate different ECC schemes based on concatenated codes like product codes, half-product codes, and generalized concatenated codes (GCC). We propose a construction for high-rate GCC for hard-input decoding. ECC based on soft-input decoding can significantly improve the reliability of NAND flash memories. Therefore, we propose a low-complexity soft-input decoding algorithm for high-rate GCC.
Pascal Laube presents machine learning approaches for three key problems of reverse engineering of defective structured surfaces: parametrization of curves and surfaces, geometric primitive classification and inpainting of high-resolution textures. The proposed methods aim to improve the reconstruction quality while further automating the process. The contributions demonstrate that machine learning can be a viable part of the CAD reverse engineering pipeline.
Ein Beitrag zum Beobachterentwurf und zur sensorlosen Folgeregelung translatorischer Magnetaktoren
(2020)
The actual task of electrocardiographic examinations is to increase the reliability of diagnosing the condition of the heart. Within the framework of this task, an important direction is the solution of the inverse problem of electrocardiography, based on the processing of electrocardiographic signals of multichannel cardio leads at known electrode coordinates in these leads (Titomir et al. Noninvasiv electrocardiotopography, 2003), (Macfarlane et al. Comprehensive Electrocardiology, 2nd ed. (Chapter 9), 2011).
The IETF, concerned with the evolution of the Internet architecture, nowadays also looks into industrial automation processes. The contributions of a variety of IETF activities, initiated during the last ten years, enable now the replacement of proprietary standards by an open standardized protocol stack. This stack, denoted in the following as 6TiSCH-stack, is tailored for industrial internet of things (IIoTs). The suitability of 6TiSCH-stack for Industry 4.0 is yet to explore. In this paper, we identify four challenges that, in our opinion, may delay or hinder its adoption. As a prime example of that, we focus on the initial 6TiSCHnetwork
formation, highlighting the shortcomings of the default procedure and introducing our current work for a fast and reliable formation of dense network.
Kleinwind-Marktreport 2020
(2020)
In my research sabbatical I was working on three different topics, namely orthogonal polynomials in geometric modeling, re-parametrized univariate subdivision curves, and reconstruction of 3d-fish-models and other zoological artifacts. In the subsequent Sections, I will describe my particular activity in these different fields. The sections are meant to present an overview of my research activities, leaving out the technical details.
Section 1 is on orthogonal polynomials and other related generating systems for functions systems of smooth function.
In Section 2, I will discuss the application of various re-parametrization schemes for interpolatory subdivision algorithms for the generation of space curves.
The next Section 3 is concerned with my research at the University of Queensland, Brisbane, in collaboration with Dr. Ulrike Siebeck from the School of Biomedical Sciences on fish behavior and reconstruction of 3d-fish models in particular.
In the last Section 4, I will describe what effects this research will have on in my subsequent teaching at the University of Applied Science Konstanz (HTWG).
The recovery of our body and brain from fatigue directly depends on the quality of sleep, which can be determined from the results of a sleep study. The classification of sleep stages is the first step of this study and includes the measurement of vital data and their further processing. The non-invasive sleep analysis system is based on a hardware sensor network of 24 pressure sensors providing sleep phase detection. The pressure sensors are connected to an energy-efficient microcontroller via a system-wide bus. A significant difference between this system and other approaches is the innovative way in which the sensors are placed under the mattress. This feature facilitates the continuous use of the system without any noticeable influence on the sleeping person. The system was tested by conducting experiments that recorded the sleep of various healthy young people. Results indicate the potential to capture respiratory rate and body movement.
Many countries offer state credit guarantees to support credit-constrained exporters. The policy instrument is commonly justified by governments as a means to mitigating adverse outcomes of financial market frictions for exporting firms. Accumulated returns to the German state credit guarantee scheme deriving from risk-compensating premia have outweighed accumulated losses over the past 60 years. Why do private financial agents not step in and provide insurance given that the state-run program yields positive returns? We argue that costs of risk diversification, liquidity management, and coordination among creditors limit the ability of private financial agents to offer comparable insurance products. Moreover, we suggest that the government’s greater effectiveness in recovering claims in foreign countries endows the state with a cost advantage in dealing with the risks involved in large export projects. We test these hypotheses using monthly firm-level data combined with official transaction-level data on covered exports of German firms and find suggestive evidence that positive effects on trade are due to mitigated financial constraints: State credit guarantees benefit firms that are dependent on external finance, if the value at risk which they seek to cover is large, and at times when refinancing conditions on the private financial market are tight.
Sabbatical semester report
(2020)
This paper presents a new likelihood-based partitioning method of the measurement set for the extended object probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter framework. Recent work has mostly relied on heuristic partitioning methods that cluster the measurement data based on a distance measure between the single measurements. This can lead to poor filter performance if the tracked extended objects are closely spaced. The proposed method called Stochastic Partitioning (StP) is based on sampling methods and was inspired by a former work of Granström et. al. In this work, the StP method is applied to a Gaussian inverse Wishart (GIW) PHD filter and compared to a second filter implementation that uses the heuristic Distance Partitioning (DP) method. The performance is evaluated in Monte Carlo simulations in a scenario where two objects approach each other. It is shown that the sampling based StP method leads to an improved filter performance compared to DP.
Die Entstehung von Radsatz-Torsionsschwingungen kann aufgrund der zunehmenden Ausnut- zung des Kraftschlusses im Rad-Schiene-Kontakt nicht vollends verhindert werden. Während analytische Untersuchungen zeigen, dass bei der Überschreitung eines bestimmten Dämp- fungswerts die Entstehung von Radsatz-Torsionsschwingungen vollständig vermieden wird, zeigen Simulationen, dass die Schwingungsamplitude des dynamischen Torsionsmoments in- folge des betragsmäβig sinkenden Kraftschlussgradienten und einer gewissen Antriebsstrang- dämpfung bei höheren Gleitgeschwindigkeiten begrenzt ist. Im Gegensatz zur analytischen Formel (17) ist damit ein maximales, dynamisches Torsionsmoment berechenbar.
Durch eine ganzheitliche Betrachtung des Gesamtsystems, bestehend aus dem Kraftschluss zwischen Rad und Schiene, dem Radsatz inkl. Lagerung, sowie Antriebsstrang können ver- schiedene Einflussfaktoren untersucht werden, die eine Radsatz-Torsionsschwingung beein- flussen. Die damit verbundenen Berechnungsmodelle sind aufgrund der Anzahl von Massen und Freiheitsgraden nicht mehr analytisch lösbar. Durch den Einsatz von Mehrkörperdynamik-Software können die Einflussfaktoren identifiziert und deren Einfluss auf die Torsionsneigung des Systems und das dynamische Torsionsmoment quantifiziert werden.
While existing resource extraction debates have contributed to a better understanding of national economic and political dilemmas and institutional responses, there are flaws in understanding the specific relevance of the various types of mining schemes for rural households to deal with the various problems they are confronted with. Our paper examines the perceptions of gold mining effects on households in Northern Burkina Faso. The findings of our survey across six districts representing different mining schemes (industrial, artisanal, no mining) highlight the fact that artisanal gold mining can generate job opportunities and cash income for local households; whereas industrial gold mining widely fails to do so. However, the general economic and environmental settings exert a much stronger influence on the household state. Gold mining effects are perceived as being less advantageous in districts where people are suffering from a lack of education, a higher vulnerability to drought and poor market access. Our findings provide empirical support for those who back the enhanced formalization of artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) and policies that entail more rigorous state monitoring of mining concessions, especially in economic and environmentally disadvantaged contexts. Effectively addressing communal and pro-poor development requires greater attention to the political economy of ASM and corporate mining. It also calls for a greater inclusion of local mining stakeholders and a more effective alignment of international regulatory and advocacy efforts.
Rheumatoid arthritis is an autoimmune disease that causes chronic inflammation of synovial joints, often resulting in irreversible structural damage. The activity of the disease is evaluated by clinical examinations, laboratory tests, and patient self-assessment. The long-term course of the disease is assessed with radiographs of hands and feet. The evaluation of the X-ray images performed by trained medical staff requires several minutes per patient. We demonstrate that deep convolutional neural networks can be leveraged for a fully automated, fast, and reproducible scoring of X-ray images of patients with rheumatoid arthritis. A comparison of the predictions of different human experts and our deep learning system shows that there is no significant difference in the performance of human experts and our deep learning model.
A physics lab-setup has been developed for engineering students in their first year at university. The so-called LabTeamCoaching helps to improve general lab skills, such as preparing an experiment, writing a documentation, using graphs and drawing conclusions. By using a flipped classroom approach, students get better involved than in our former physics labs when we applied classical methods. This approach will be described and an overview of our 10 years of experience using this method will be given.
One important skill for engineers is the ability of optimizing their experiments. On their job they will often spend a lot more time designing and improving an experimental setup compared to running the actual experiment itself. Is it possible to teach this complex task in physics labs? A method for reaching this goal is proposed an example is given and discussed.
Das hier vorgestellte Netzoptimierungstool kann dem Verteilnetzbetreiber bei einem Störfall im Netz in Echtzeit eine Lösung zur Steuerung seiner Betriebsmittel vorschlagen. Dadurch kann das bestehende Netz optimal genutzt werden und ein kostenintensiver Netzausbau im Mittel- und Niederspannungsnetz verringert oder sogar verhindert werden. Als Grundlage für den Netzoptimierer dient ein künstliches neuronales Netz (KNN). Zum Training des KNN wurden Störfälle generiert, die auf reellen Erzeugungs- und Lastprofilen aus dem CoSSMic-Projekt basieren [1]. Für jeden Störfall wurde aus allen möglichen und sinnvollen Netzkonfigurationen eine optimierte Netztopologie anhand von Lastflussberechnungen ermittelt. Durch die Variation der Stufenschalter der Transformatoren und der Stellungen aller installierten Schalter im Netz wurde berechnet, wie der Stromfluss gelenkt werden muss, damit keines der Betriebsmittel die zulässigen Belastungsgrenzen mehr überschreitet. Für ein virtuelles Testnetz konnte mit einem trainierten KNN zu 90 Prozent die optimale Lösung des jeweiligen Störfalls erkannt werden. Durch die Anwendung der N-Best Methode konnte die Vorhersagewahrscheinlichkeit auf annähernd 99 Prozent erhöht werden.
We present an alternative approach to grid management in low voltage grids by the use of artificial intelligence. The developed decision support system is based on an artificial neural network (ANN). Due to the fast reaction time of our system, real time grid management will be possible. Remote controllable switches and tap changers in transformer stations are used to actively manage the grid infrastructure. The algorithm can support the distribution system operators to keep the grid in a safe state at any time. Its functionality is demonstrated by a case study using a virtual test grid. The ANN achieves a prediction rate of around 90% for the different grid management strategies. By considering the four most likely solutions proposed by the ANN, the prediction rate increases to 98.8%, with a 0.1 second increase in the running time of the model.
We present an innovative decision support system (DSS) for distribution system operators (DSO) based on an artificial neural network (ANN). A trained ANN has the ability to recognize problem patterns and to propose solutions that can be implemented directly in real time grid management. The principle functionality of this ANN based optimizer has been demonstrated by means of a simple virtual electrical grid. For this grid, the trained ANN predicted the solution minimizing the total line power dissipation in 98 percent of the cases considered. In 99 percent of the cases, a valid solution in compliance with the specified operating conditions was found. First ANN tests on a more realistic grid, calibrated with household load measurements, revealed a prediction rate between 88 and 90 percent depending on the optimization criteria. This approach promises a faster, more cost-efficient and potentially secure method to support distribution system operators in grid management.
Summary of the 8th Workshop on Metallization and Interconnection for Crystalline Silicon Solar Cells
(2019)
This article gives a summary of the 8th Metallization and Interconnection workshop and attempts to place each contribution in the appropriate context. The field of metallization and interconnection continues to progress at a very fast pace. Several printing techniques can now achieve linewidths below 20 μm. Screen printing is more than ever the dominating metallization technology in the industry, with finger widths of 45 μm in routine mass production and values below 20 μm in the lab. Plating technology is also being improved, particularly through the development of lower cost patterning techniques. Interconnection technology is changing fast, with introduction in mass production of multiwire and shingled cells technologies. New models and characterization techniques are being introduced to study and understand in detail these new interconnection technologies.
This paper summarizes the trends in metallization and interconnection technology in the eyes of the participants of the 8th Metallization and Interconnection Workshop. Participants were asked in a questionnaire to share their view on the future development of metallization technology, the kind of metal used for front side metallization and the future development of interconnection technology. The continuous improvement of the screen-printing technology is reflected in the high expected percentage share decreasing from 88% in three years to still 70% in ten years. The dominating front side metal in the view of the participants will be silver with an expected percentage share of nearly 70% in 2029. Regarding interconnection technologies, the experts of the workshop expect new technologies to gain significant technology shares faster. Whereas in three years soldering on busbars is expected to dominate with a percentage share of 71% it will drop in ten years to 35% in the eyes of the participants. Multiwire and shingling technologies are seen to have the highest potential with expected percentage shares of 33% (multiwire) and 16% (shingling) in ten years.
Some 165 global experts and specialists from industry and academic institutes met at the 8th Metallization & Interconnection Workshop (MIW2019) that took place from 13 to 14 May 2019 in Konstanz, Germany. Participants from 19 countries debated results of 28 oral and 11 poster presentations.
All presentations are available on www.metallizationworkshop.info as pdf documents. As in previous editions, lots of room was available for discussions and networking during the two-days program which included panel and market-place discussions as well as social events (reception, workshop dinner).
These proceedings contain: a summary of the oral and poster presentations, the results of the survey conducted during the workshop, and peer-reviewed papers based on workshop contributions.
The investigation of stress requires to distinguish between stress caused by physical activity and stress that is caused by psychosocial factors. The behaviour of the heart in response to stress and physical activity is very similar in case the set of monitored parameters is reduced to one. Currently, the differentiation remains difficult and methods which only use the heart rate are not able to differentiate between stress and physical activity, without using additional sensor data input. The approach focusses on methods which generate signals providing characteristics that are useful for detecting stress, physical activity, no activity and relaxation.
This document presents an algorithm for a non-obtrusive recognition of Sleep/Wake states using signals derived from ECG, respiration, and body movement captured while lying in a bed. As a core mathematical base of system data analytics, multinomial logistic regression techniques were chosen. Derived parameters of the three signals are used as the input for the proposed method. The overall achieved accuracy rate is 84% for Wake/Sleep stages, with Cohen’s kappa value 0.46. The presented algorithm should support experts in analyzing sleep quality in more detail. The results confirm the potential of this method and disclose several ways for its improvement.
The exposure to the light has a great influence on human beings in their everyday life. Various lighting sources produce light that reaches the human eye and influences a rhythmic release of melatonin hormone, that is a sleep promoting factor.
Since the development of new technologies provides more control over illuminance, this work uses an IoT based lighting system to set up dim and bright scenarios. A small study has been performed on the influence of illuminance on sleep latency. The system consists of different light bulbs, sensors and a central bridge which are interconnected like a mesh network. Also, a mobile app has been developed, that allows to adjust the lighting in various rooms. With the help of a ferro-electret sensor, like applied in sleep monitoring systems, a subject’s sleep was monitored. The sensor is placed below the mattress and it collects data, which is stored and processed in a cloud or in other alternative locations.
The research was conducted on healthy young subjects after being previously exposed to the preconfigured illuminance for at least three hours before bedtime. The results indicate correlation between sleep onset latency and exposure to different illuminance before bedtime. In a dimmed environment, the subject fell asleep in average 28% faster compared to the brighter environment.
This paper analyses international cooperation in alternative energy production research and development. Therefore, patents of the technological domain, registered at the European Patent Office from 1997 until 2016, are analysed. International cooperation is considered when patents involve co-assignment or co-inventorship comprising two or more different countries. Generally, international R&D cooperation tends to be increasing over time in alternative energy production. In total, 2234 co-patents from 87 countries are identified. Through social network analysis the cooperative relationships between countries are examined. The most significant states of the network are the United States of America and Germany. Innovative clusters and strong partnerships are identified. Alternative energy technologies that involve international cooperation most extensively are harnessing energy from manmade waste, solar energy and bio-fuels. The paper clarifies which countries are cooperating with each other for what purpose. The findings can be used for establishing R&D strategies in the domain of alternative energy production.
This thesis deals with the object tracking problem of multiple extended objects. For instance, this tracking problem occurs when a car with sensors drives on the road and detects multiple other cars in front of it. When the setup between the senor and the other cars is in a such way that multiple measurements are created by each single car, the cars are called extended objects. This can occur in real world scenarios, mainly with the use of high resolution sensors in near field applications. Such a near field scenario leads a single object to occupy several resolution cells of the sensor so that multiple measurements are generated per scan. The measurements are additionally superimposed by the sensor’s noise. Beside the object generated measurements, there occur false alarms, which are not caused by any object and sometimes in a sensor scan, single objects could be missed so that they not generate any measurements.
To handle these scenarios, object tracking filters are needed to process the sensor measurements in order to obtain a stable and accurate estimate of the objects in each sensor scan. In this thesis, the scope is to implement such a tracking filter that handles the extended objects, i.e. the filter estimates their positions and extents. In context of this, the topic of measurement partitioning occurs, which is a pre-processing of the measurement data. With the use of partitioning, the measurements that are likely generated by one object are put into one cluster, also called cell. Then, the obtained cells are processed by the tracking filter for the estimation process. The partitioning of measurement data is a crucial part for the performance of tracking filter because insufficient partitioning leads to bad tracking performance, i.e. inaccurate object estimates.
In this thesis, a Gaussian inverse Wishart Probability Hypothesis Density (GIW-PHD) filter was implemented to handle the multiple extended object tracking problem. Within this filter framework, the number of objects are modelled as Random Finite Sets (RFSs) and the objects’ extent as random matrices (RM). The partitioning methods that are used to cluster the measurement data are existing ones as well as a new approach that is based on likelihood sampling methods. The applied classical heuristic methods are Distance Partitioning (DP) and Sub-Partitioning (SP), whereas the proposed likelihood-based approach is called Stochastic Partitioning (StP). The latter was developed in this thesis based on the Stochastic Optimisation approach by Granström et al. An implementation, including the StP method and its integration into the filter framework, is provided within this thesis.
The implementations, using the different partitioning methods, were tested on simulated random multi-object scenarios and in a fixed parallel tracking scenario using Monte Carlo methods. Further, a runtime analysis was done to provide an insight into the computational effort using the different partitioning methods. It emphasized, that the StP method outperforms the classical partitioning methods in scenarios, where the objects move spatially close. The filter using StP performs more stable and with more accurate estimates. However, this advantage is associated with a higher computational effort compared to the classical heuristic partitioning methods.
Compliance im Personalwesen
(2019)
Der Erfolg eines Unternehmens hängt nicht nur von qualifizierten, sondern maßgeblich auch von motivierten, zuverlässigen und integren Mitarbeitern ab. Denn mögliche Compliance-Risiken beruhen in vielen Fällen auf einem Fehlverhalten der eigenen Mitarbeiter. Derartige Risiken können sehr einfach minimiert werden, indem von vornherein keine Personen eingestellt oder befördert werden, die in der Vergangenheit straffällig geworden sind oder deren Zuverlässigkeit und Integrität angezweifelt werden kann. Doch nicht immer ist die Sachlage so offensichtlich. Für Unternehmen ist es daher wichtig, Compliance auch im Personalmanagement und in den Personalprozessen zu berücksichtigen und zu integrieren.
